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4.6日复盘 行情在绝望中诞生

  • 2026-04-07 00:43:43
4.6日复盘 行情在绝望中诞生
3.3日最高点4197.23，3.23日最低点3794.68,下跌周期15个交易日。3.23日往后推15个交易日反弹周期应该在4.14日。清明节前是杀跌的，所以下周整体应该是反弹预期，可能会好做一点。
最差的结果就是一次性杀到位，杀破3794，那就更没得说越跌越买，暴跌直接梭哈。大漂亮《战争权力决议》在法律程序上确立了“国会授权，总统执行”的战争权分工，设置60天“自动刹车机制”，2.28日反推60天就是4.29日，结合5月中旬访华谈筹码，这波美伊事件驱动大概率应该会在月底结束，可能会以川普赢麻了让步结尾，当然短期无法判断，因为军舰部队开过去了，肯定是要碰一碰的，语言只是迷惑，行动决定走向。指数小节奏就是先杀后反还是反后再杀，倾向于反后再杀，也就是4.14日反弹结束最后一波杀跌4.22日左右见市场底。
稳一点就是等放量大阳线反转再看。
节前顺科技加强的是光纤和osc，主要是光通信拒绝回调，这个位置只能是低位博弈思路，性价比可能会高一点。科技预期差应该在算力tokenor机器人，属于赔率品种，类似之前的商业航天。CCL今晚吹的比较多一点，胜宏董事长吹的也比较狠，主要是建滔年内第二次涨价。新能源我觉得还是锂电可能会强一点，虽然这波已经止盈了，后面还是看轮动新高预期。
战争相关品种，油运化工肯定是不做的，只能是T0思路。化工今年周期是向上的，波段思路应该在彻底结束后再参与。剩下的就是航运和跨境支付，跨境支付周末利好就是霍尔木兹海峡用人民币或稳定币收路费，直接利好就是中油资本控股的昆仑银行，昆仑银行是目前中国唯一、也是最主要的对伊朗跨境结算银行。航运周末发酵主要是citrini实地调研，让我对象翻译了下大概就是航运量目前是在增加的，核心锚定应该是招商的南油和轮船，无论放行不放行应该都是利好，目前是加强趋势。
药就不写了，很简单回流加强思路do it即可。
复盘记录，不作为投资建议，切忌盲目跟随，思路和逻辑仅供参考。由于微信公众号改版，需要设为星标，点击“在看”和“点赞”，才能第一时间收到文章推送，如果喜欢文章，请多多关注点赞转发支持，谢谢！
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.001095s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001387s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.003351s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.004046s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001369s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000604s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001472s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 509342 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002041s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1775507984 WHERE `id` = 509342 [ RunTime:0.007851s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001505s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 509342 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001348s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 509342 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002250s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 509342 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.003141s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 509342 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.003075s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 509342 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.003617s ]
0.231832s