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白银股先行,半导体行情要复刻历史走势?

  • 2026-07-08 20:00:10
白银股先行,半导体行情要复刻历史走势?

摩根士丹利最新研究给出了一组极具参考价值的板块先行信号。

从历史走势可以清晰看到，白银矿业ETF（黄色线）与费城半导体指数（蓝色线）走出了高度一致的行情结构，白银板块整整领先半导体4个月启动。

2024年末，白银个股率先见底回升；时隔4个月，半导体板块开启同趋势上涨，二者一路同步冲高，在2026年初一同见顶回落，涨跌节奏高度贴合。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000505s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000556s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.008307s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000305s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000573s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000267s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000599s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 561898 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001384s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1783513455 WHERE `id` = 561898 [ RunTime:0.005688s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.005473s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 561898 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002976s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 561898 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000475s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 561898 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000825s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 561898 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.009427s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 561898 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000663s ]
0.115291s