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南北玉米,酝酿反弹行情

  • 2026-08-07 19:41:53
南北玉米,酝酿反弹行情

进入10月以来，黑龙江籽粒直收玉米上市，水分偏高难以储存，下游企业掌握市场定价主导权，季节性供应压力使企业顺势下调收购价。
上周，华北玉米价格虽继续上涨，但预计幅度有限。一是当前玉米处于上市高峰，市场预期未彻底扭转，企业建库意愿不强；二是黑龙江与山东玉米价差虽在250元/吨左右，但气温偏高不利于潮粮长途运输，待气温下降后黑龙江玉米大量输出，又会带动东北玉米价格上行，进而制压制山东玉米行情。
待直收粒潮粮供应结束后，市场价格将见底回升。一是短期直收粒玉米集中供应将逐渐减少；二是多地玉米价格已跌破租地种植成本，供应下降触发带来行情反弹；三是企业库存仍偏低，价格反弹会改变市场预期；四是玉米期货价格单日上涨近50元/吨，市场心态看涨；五是2024/2025年度玉米及其替代谷物进口预期减少，后期市场供需关系改变将推动价格上行。

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豆科产品一周价格行情监测报告(2026年7月30日-2026年8月5日)

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0.186131s