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马年大宗商品行情展望---新手板块(纯碱---玻璃)

  • 2026-02-15 16:22:27
马年大宗商品行情展望---新手板块(纯碱---玻璃)
新手入场之最爱，纯碱---玻璃
这条产业链自成体系，保证金便宜，研究起来不费劲，目前整体价格为上市以来历史低位
这使得纯碱和玻璃成为25年开始入市的新手最爱的品种
每个建仓纯碱玻璃的都幻想着让利润奔跑，买到了一个商品的低位
做着一夜暴富的美梦
那今天我们来看一下这两个品种究竟机会在哪里
纯碱和玻璃的走势雷同，因此，很多喜欢搞套利的，基本面逻辑看玻璃减产，多；纯碱需求降，空；这一套的，其实还是一个短线逻辑，短线套利是可以的
但长线上看，这两个品种必定同涨跌，玻璃要想起来，纯碱也必须起，纯碱不起，玻璃也没有大的多头行情
纯碱加权的月线，有一个向上做3卖的机会
而玻璃加权的月线有一个构筑月线2卖的机会
至于纯碱和玻璃有没有新低
这个问题不由纯碱和玻璃说的算
记住，纯碱，玻璃在当下还有没有反弹以后新低的走势的，已经不由这两个品种自身说得算了，而是看文华商品指数的脸色
因此，这两个品种当下属于食之无味，弃之可惜的鸡肋行情中
多头行情，目前没有看到
空头行情，下方空间已经被文华商品指数给锁死
这点也可以从这两货色的换手率看得出来
这两个品种，换手率不上到250%-300%，且长期维持住
都可以暂时不用关注
且，行情最后能不能落到05合约上还不好说，要看节后增仓的情况
节前是部分空头避险出逃，看看节后这部分人还回不回来
以及整体大宗的情绪
如果行情落不到05上，或者行情3月份没有动静，那就去09了
也就是夏天的事情了，因此，这两个品种不是我们节后的首选品种
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  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000323s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000707s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000294s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000251s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000488s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000207s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000506s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 481871 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000338s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1771228966 WHERE `id` = 481871 [ RunTime:0.005351s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000237s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 481871 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000415s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 481871 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002819s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 481871 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001041s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 481871 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002086s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 481871 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000896s ]
0.083331s