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不同策略应对不同行情

  • 2026-04-08 16:34:54
不同策略应对不同行情
    先恭喜一下有持仓的朋友哈，今天上证和沪深300最高点收盘，创业板大涨5.91%。很多股今天都出现了日线买点，只要战争局势不出现大的反复，这一波先看日线级别的反弹波段。
    说今天要写的正题，刚开始炒股的人可能会对市场有一个误解，那就是：只有做多这一条路能赚钱。其实不是这样的，除了买入股票持股待涨以外还是有其他不同策略来应对不同的市场环境的。
1：先说第一种情形，下面这张是上证指数的年线图，好多人觉得大盘波动大难把握，但是看看这年线图是不是就比较清晰了，自从1990年开始有了第一根年线之后上证指数一直沿着我画的这条黄色的线上行，期间有过非常大的阳线和阴线，但是底部是一直沿着这条上升趋势线爬升的。国家队在2024年2800点以下救市的时候，当时的大盘点位就是刚好踩在了这条趋势线上。所以第一种情形就是指数跌到了趋势线附近可以逐渐做多。（不会选个股就做多指数）
2：第二种情形，如果不是比较明显的牛市或者熊市，那就先判断一下指数的位置高不高，如果比较高我会倾向于股票（或者买大盘指数etf）+债基的配置；如果不高我会股票+IC滚动吃贴水的策略。
    下面我放了两张图，第一张是中证全债近十年的走势图和上证指数的对比，大体上债券的走势和A股的走势成反向，股票涨债券跌，债券涨股市跌。所以高位震荡的市场可以适当配置债券。
    第二张图是今天IC合约的价格，合约2604和2606之间有122个点的贴水，一个点是200块钱，也就是一手IC只通过换合约2个月就能吃到24400块钱的贴水。对于低位震荡市场来说很舒服，这种就是有时间价值补偿的投资策略，不怕股市它不涨。
3：对于高位又顶背离的大盘来说，要么空仓，要么买债基，大资金可以选择私募或者货币类资管产品，短线高手可以做空指数。不要怕大盘跌，像6124,5178点跌下来之后遍地是黄金，又可以买好股票了。
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2026年4月8日 现货行情【大豆油】

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000668s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000992s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000380s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000301s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000551s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000193s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000566s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 510609 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000484s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1775645545 WHERE `id` = 510609 [ RunTime:0.014040s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000225s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510609 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000465s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 510609 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001446s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510609 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.006149s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510609 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.000665s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510609 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000817s ]
0.108507s