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五一前行情有反复

  • 2026-04-21 02:27:27
五一前行情有反复
大盘现在的节奏还是很强的，也到了预期的4080区域，这一轮慢涨爬升，说明市场有明显的资金控盘，虽然在3月上旬的平台构成一定的压力，这种走势有点类似去年7月和12月下旬那一波的上涨走势，从日线的KDJ指标看，当前处于明显的逼空；
在技术上，周线KDJ指标刚金叉，说明周线的反弹尚未到位，已经把前面的大阴线给收复了，目前的周线走势符合我之前预判，三到五周时间完成修复行情，这个节奏也验证了我说的“三月下跌、四月修复、五月主升”，正在逐步兑现，而且还比预期要强；
而接下来大盘会有两个问题，一方面是技术面遇到了前期平台阻力，4100区域阻力明显，另一方面就是面临五一假期，按照假期规律，一般都会有波动的，要么先涨后跌，要么先跌后涨，无论哪种走势，大盘的整体风险不大的，节前有回落都是进场的机会；
从大趋势来说，这一轮走势确认后，再度回到4100以上，那么在五六月份指数的目标就是4500区域，按照之前判断，经过前面几个月的休整震荡，后面的行情是有希望看到4500-4800点的，这一观点的判断还是继续维持的，只不过不是等主升再做，而是要在这阶段积极布局；
板块上，今天商业航天是最强的，涨停个股超 20家，一方面是因为可回收火箭又将迎来关键发射的消息，另一方面也是超跌轮动，本质上跟上周的机器人、AI应用差不多的，属于短线结构的反弹行情；
对于板块上，我个人还是看好电池、光伏、算力、AI应用、半导体、电子元件等方面，电池的趋势已经走出来了，元器件、半导体的走势也在开始走好，光伏在修复待突破阶段，AI应用和算力都到了反弹节点了；
证券处于见底反弹蓄势，这个机构是很好的，在蓄势等待配合大盘向上突破4200-4300，预计后面大盘突破走主升的话，还是金融带动向上，科技和电池为主线，所以前面在4月初就反复强调中旬开始走好，要积极布局；
对于短线来说，大盘4100附近会有震荡，但整体趋势依然向上为主，这位置有回落也是进场的机会，五一之前肯定有反复行情，但风险不大，所以不要担心，这个阶段就是主升前的布局阶段，着重把握我提示的板块方向个股的机会。
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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000408s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000595s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000292s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000262s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000691s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000239s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000671s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 519814 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000456s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1776712636 WHERE `id` = 519814 [ RunTime:0.006139s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000405s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 519814 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000600s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 519814 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001524s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 519814 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.028989s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 519814 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.026345s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 519814 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.015961s ]
0.154996s