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2026本轮行情,我得到教训

  • 2026-05-23 10:46:46
2026本轮行情,我得到教训
这篇是自我分析和解剖。
我的关注者很少，所以，写给自己意义更大。
在2024年本轮行情没来之前，我知道牛市迟早要来，但是却没有清晰的规划。核心原因是 没有重视牛熊周期，第二点是没有整体规划。
我从2024年底开始做券商，2025年获利31% 2026年目前亏17%。可以说错过了整个牛市。
原因是什么？原因是单压一个，选错板块。
废话不多说，总结如下。
1.以后把宽基作为主要操作对象，核心以创业板为主。跟主板比 波动大，受操控少。
当然不是现在买，等机会。
2.行业投资，各板块控制在10-15%之间。 因为我太笨，选的基本是低估板块。这种风格经常失效。
3.放弃个股或者轻仓。不喜欢研究财报研究公司，一旦重仓踩雷，重伤，就算没踩雷有利空，内心恐慌。
4.把牛熊周期和时间周期，提高到重要位置。价值投资能增加底气，但低估的行业，如果不考虑行业周期和时间周期，那也是煎熬。
以下的感悟
做大盘 能减少痛苦，避免指数涨个股不涨的痛苦。
交易型投机很难，是一套体系，比价投要逆人性。这个做到了挣钱确实快，但是，这种需要天赋，还很需要纪律和对抗人性。比如交易系统让你止损，连续三次止损后都拉了回来，这种打击肯定要修改系统，最后又不一样了，人性和亏钱的双重折磨。
价投相对难度少一点，选择不死的指数，低百分位入场，跌了死扛。需要耐心就行。
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  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001124s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000362s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000298s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000576s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000226s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000653s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 540563 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000454s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1779512951 WHERE `id` = 540563 [ RunTime:0.002759s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000234s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 540563 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000460s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 540563 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001583s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 540563 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000724s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 540563 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.000973s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 540563 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.004415s ]
0.085584s