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AI 基建行情之后,下一条叙事会是物理AI

  • 2026-07-07 10:00:08
AI 基建行情之后,下一条叙事会是物理AI
根据公开市场观察，中国机构投资者正将资金投入物理人工智能和世界模型领域。
也就是资金正在疯狂砸向基础设施、实体 AI 和世界模型。
持续的资金投入AI基础设施/半导体供应链。
大量资本流入物理AI/具身大脑/人形机器人以及世界模型领域。
且随着老马在机器人工厂照片的发布，标准着2026下半年人形机器人从 0 到 1 兑现的窗口打开了。 
那为什么是现在？
1、大摩上调出货预期
大摩把 2026 年中国人形机器人出货预测从 2.8 万台上调到 5 万台，2030 年看到 44.6 万台。 
机构开始把机器人从远期主题，往近端出货和供应链兑现去定价。
2、Tesla Optimus 进入量产验证窗口
Q1 earnings call 里，Musk 给出的生产启动时间是 “late July / August timeframe”。 果不然，昨天 Musk 说在 Fremont 看 Optimus生产线。 
Optimus V3 / Gen 3 从 Demo 机进入 Fremont 产线验证和小批量爬坡。
开弓没有回头箭，看看这个月财报怎么说。
3、我们机器人厂商开始出货
智元 6 月 28 日宣布第 15,000 台具身智能机器人下线，距离 3 月突破万台不到 3 个月。 
优必选 6 月 21 日宣布，“优世界”京东首发预订单累计超过 5000 台。 
这几天都被刷屏了，算是我们这边也开幕式了。
4、宇树下半年ipo
宇树 6 月 1 日科创板 IPO 过会，市场预期下半年挂牌。
 值得一提的是，这次过会只花了70多天，可见多么郭嘉战略优先级。 
量产验证一旦开始，上游的厂商，执行器/丝杠/减速器/电机/传感器等，就会进入像光模块/存储这样的不回头增长。 
大胆点说的话，机器人的现在，就是存储和光模块的2024 年年中。
（本文系胡说八道的研究观点和理解，甚至是偏见。股市有风险，投资需谨慎。本文所提包括但不限于大盘、行业或个股仅为分析研究，不构成任何投资建议或意见，A股市场波动剧烈，请结合自身风险承受能力独立决策。)
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000545s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000823s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000364s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000268s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000504s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000197s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000582s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 561785 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000483s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1783402870 WHERE `id` = 561785 [ RunTime:0.006933s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000356s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 561785 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000831s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 561785 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000381s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 561785 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.021919s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 561785 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002550s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 561785 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.014330s ]
0.157269s