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2026.3.4(今日黄金行情分析以及操作思路)

  • 2026-03-04 18:18:19
2026.3.4(今日黄金行情分析以及操作思路)
黄金昨天整整暴跌了300美金之多，整个过程一气呵成，而原油也是整整上涨了8%的幅度，黄金原油目前站在了对立面，中东的冲突越来越火，霍尔木兹海峡的关闭中断导致了油价的上涨，从而导致通胀预期的上升，引发恐慌指数的飙升，从而更多的人抛售资产。
那么这次黄金下跌，白银暴跌，原油上涨的主要核心原因是什么呢？
主要的原因是原油上涨，导致能源危机的升温，从而引发通胀预期上升，美元走强，美债收益率上涨刺激美联储降息不断降温。
整整的逻辑是：担忧原油供应中断导致油价价格上涨——从而引发通胀预期上升——美元走强——美联储接下来降息暂停甚至考虑加息的步伐——最终导致黄金白银等贵金属承压下跌。整体的逻辑非常连贯，我们应该尊重世界的经济秩序，而非盲目的随从自己的认知观点。
原油已经成为下一个黑马，周一开盘暴涨9%以上，而昨天更是直接上涨8%，两天时间已经触及78美元一桶，这是能源危机的到来，尽管小特护航+商业保险过往霍尔木兹海峡的游轮，但是整个海边线都是伊朗的打击边缘，这一措施很难实现，而行商业保险极其复杂，如果老美不优先停战，后续将会中断更久，甚至导致全球经济通货膨胀，引发经济衰退。
在去年11-12月份嗅到经济见底时，嗅到的产品就是原油。其实在大宗商品顺利来看，首先是黄金白银——工业——原油能源——化工产品——农业收尾。这一逻辑的上涨顺序仍然存在。我们也是按照这一逻辑来去布局的，现在已经到了能源的这一步，接下来就是化工原料以及农业的收尾布局。
当前黄金的秩序非常乱，一方面是冲突的避险情绪存在，另外一方面需要考虑油价上涨带来的通胀冲击美元走强，所以当前黄金最好是短期波动去跟随，并且多看少动，以5220作为压制短期继续看回调，下方支撑位4996位置。而一旦又站稳5220，那么上方又再次打开空间到5300-5400区域。整个过程是在洗盘的动作，所以当前是属于震荡行情，切勿追涨杀跌，保住好自己的本金，等待更好的机会到来。
免责条款：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文内容不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到不同读者的个人财务状况和投资诉求，仅记录作者个人观点及看法，据此投资，责任自负。
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.001009s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001438s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000734s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000608s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001225s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000495s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001325s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 489232 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000868s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1772728678 WHERE `id` = 489232 [ RunTime:0.012047s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000658s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489232 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001089s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 489232 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002649s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489232 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001342s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489232 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.003149s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489232 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.002199s ]
0.206388s