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从924行情到现在大势见顶了吗?

  • 2026-03-27 00:48:48
从924行情到现在大势见顶了吗?
    今天两市缩量下跌，回补了昨天上涨缺口。近期行情快速回落最低跌破3800点，当下看从2024年924行情沪指从2689涨到4197这个上涨趋势行情结束了？见顶了，还是上涨途中的一次大的调整？
 这波上涨的动力是政策救市，质押股票再贷款。叠加美联储降息释放流动性。行情的高点是交易所改规则降低融资保证金比例，市场资金减少，结束了当时疯狂的17连阳。之后市场进入震荡，春节后伊美冲突导致能源危机，全球股市下跌。市场预期是担心原油上涨，原油上涨影响物流成本，化工产品，化肥等导致通胀，抗通胀就要减少市场货币总量，就会加息。加息流通性紧张资产价格下跌，房市股市缩水。
  假设后期伊美冲突达成协议，霍尔木兹海峡恢复自由通航，原油将快速回落，通胀减缓。市场走势就应出现大涨，信心恢复。没有大涨就可以确定行情进入震荡，资金被套换手减少。行情火爆时，散户当日卖出A,反手买入B，当日市场成交额就是大增的，两市万亿以上。都躺平了，资金不流动成交额就下来了。 
  后期看救市政策并没有停下，只是降温。伊美冲突不会是持久战一定会达成协议。未来依然是看涨的。类似于2005年407行情关税威胁论后的走势。  现在肯定没有当时强，当时是行情震荡尾声是上涨初期。
 明日市场继续缩量收星，周末能出来美伊谈判有进展，周一就有望继续上涨。
板块方面，SpaceX即将IPO是否会带动A股商业航天表现。  
超跌的白酒是否会表现。
    散户的操作是盲目的，感性的，随性的。没有交易规则，没有交易纪律，没有交易系统。短线变中线，中线变长线，长线变股东。 短线最重要的是止损，错了及时就错，手上有资金，把握下次机会。 躺平就是靠运气等待下次热点回归，被动持股。 正确止损是交易规则的第一关。有问题联系助理：yu5239
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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2026年3月26日 A股行情复盘

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000568s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000869s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000308s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000302s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000672s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000239s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000719s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 501963 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000437s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1774555855 WHERE `id` = 501963 [ RunTime:0.009633s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000376s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 501963 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000587s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 501963 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000455s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 501963 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.002778s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 501963 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001101s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 501963 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001233s ]
0.089407s