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橡胶最近很强,大行情看下半年

  • 2026-04-01 18:40:02
橡胶最近很强,大行情看下半年
商品通胀是有顺序的，先是黄金白银上涨，其次是铜铝上涨，然后是原油化工上涨，最后是农产品上涨。
黄金白银，已经涨过了，铜铝也涨过了，原油化工也因为美国伊朗战争，涨了一个月。
放眼整个商品市场，现在就差农产品没涨了，农产品后面还会不会涨？肯定会的，因为时间周期快到了。
农产品种类繁多，有玉米、豆粕、橡胶、白糖、棉花、棕榈油，后面应该关注哪个呢？
考虑到今年大概率是厄尔尼诺年，而且有可能是强厄尔尼诺年，我觉得应该优先关注橡胶，棕榈和白糖也可以适当关注。
国内期货市场有三个橡胶期货品种，ru是天胶，nr是20号胶，br是合成橡胶。
合成橡胶属于化工品，跟厄尔尼诺气候没关系，所以后面只关注天胶和20号胶。
天胶和20号胶，如果到时流动性没问题，我会优先考虑20号胶，因为天胶上的大空头太多，20号胶独立性强，国内的资本无法影响20号胶。
这个月22日，20号胶期权上市，对喜欢做期权的朋友来说绝对是个好消息，后面大行情来了，可以用期权猛干。
橡胶就先说这么多吧，今年大概率是强厄尔尼诺年，东南亚橡胶主产区干旱的可能性很大，橡胶减产在所难免，就看减产有多严重。
昨天，我的商铺空出来了，装修公司搬走了，现在我有三层楼可以用，面积600多平米，欢迎大家过来喝茶，如果有需要，可以过来现场交流学习。
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000414s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000744s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000306s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000280s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000672s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000241s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000746s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 506166 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000621s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1775058870 WHERE `id` = 506166 [ RunTime:0.014370s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000318s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 506166 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002030s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 506166 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000512s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 506166 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.018496s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 506166 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.013283s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 506166 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.014316s ]
0.133289s