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行情还远吗

  • 2026-04-06 23:37:38
行情还远吗
今天深夜加餐一篇，给大家打打气。
年初至今全A指数跌-2.03%，但是很多人的体感要比这个差。
股市从来不是平均水平，很多股民的选股和择时是负面贡献，听着残酷但事实如此。
所以对普通人来说要么是抓住一轮牛市机会，而且得是主升浪；要么就是走配置的思路，放弃交易，找到好的基金投顾做定投。
接下来谈谈我对接下来行情的看法。
给你们看一张图，我手绘的。
2024年9月至今 全A指数
量价量价，量是因，价是果。
如图，我在成交额幅图上做了标记。你们可以很清楚地看到，市场每一波回踩都是缩量，每一波拉升都是放量。
从2024.9.24牛市大幕拉来，前面三波的先踩+再拉已经是过去时，现在的第四波回踩是正在进行时。
图中能看到，这波缩量回调已经走了一段时间，且调整幅度也基本到位，所以再磨叽多久不好说，要看川普，但是主要风险已经释放，下一波拉升只是时间问题。
更直接点，
-- 假设美伊冲突结束早，4月大家就舒服了。
-- 假设美伊冲突结束晚，5-6月虽迟但到，大家也会舒服。
总之，我知道兄弟们一季度比较难受，但是从各方面情况来看，A股二季度走强的概率是很高的。
上面这句话你们结合着我的手绘图再感受下。
股市是很反人性的。每当你觉得即将走上人生巅峰，牛夫人就来了，每当你觉得™怎么这么难啊，小甜甜就出现了。
我这么讲，不是安慰你们，只是事实如此。
当然如果恰好你此刻惶恐不安，担心牛去熊来，那么可能今晚这篇对你是有安慰的。
最后我开个打赏。
这篇虽短，但是我觉得那张手绘图你们好好看看，少说值1块，观点值1块，加起来2块钱大概一根老冰棍没毛病吧~~

对我来说，钱多钱少看股市。

打赏我图的是情绪价值，和原创动力。

今晚好好休息，

祝大家明天20cm涨停。

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2026.04.06 复盘:这行情还是要复盘吧?

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000928s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001625s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000656s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000688s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001305s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000554s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001386s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 509309 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001007s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1775514587 WHERE `id` = 509309 [ RunTime:0.016693s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001367s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 509309 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001294s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 509309 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001068s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 509309 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.008781s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 509309 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.007535s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 509309 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.008385s ]
0.215062s