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利好,老乡别走?【周行情研判0407-0410】

  • 2026-04-08 15:04:37
利好,老乡别走?【周行情研判0407-0410】
清明劫过去了，假期消息面整体是比较缓和的，没有出现太大的幺蛾子。
没有特别大的利空就是利好。
中东局势方面，美以与伊朗双方都在不断的拉扯，不过有一个比较微妙的信号，看言论与反馈而言，伊朗的回应态度不像开始的时候那么强硬了。
之前提到和谈，是一口回绝的，两横一竖就是干；但是现在提到和谈：嗯？我考虑考虑，看看你的诚意与条件...
同时，官媒报道称，过去一个周，霍尔木兹海峡通航量已经达到了伊朗战争爆发以来的最高水平。这也是说明有缓和的迹象。
而且今天虽然A股不开盘，日本韩国的股市是正常交易的，都是上涨的，美股纳指期指目前也是翻红了。
整个外围股市的环境也是OK的。
理论上明天A股开盘不会有太大的压力，或许有小高开的表现。
但是问题是就算A股上涨，没有主线、看不到持续性的情况下，也很难有赚头。
周五上证指数跌了1%，量缩下跌，量能方面较3月初的时候已经缩减了一半。
还是原本的观点：
如果市场还是没有新主线走出来，带领市场打出赚钱效应，那结果只能是下跌，还是继续量缩阴跌，缩减的量能多半是主动性资金，剩下的资金更多的是量化资金，这会更加加剧量化资金的主导性，就会让市场更差。
这种情况下，还是要创新低的节奏。
现阶段市场的小节奏像极了去年11月中下旬到12月中上旬的走势。
但是走势上个人认为会更弱不会更强。
上面的图也是个人未来指数走势的一些预判。
所以，下周，继续等待，多观察一下，不着急出手。
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000401s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000598s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.006627s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000501s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000667s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000503s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000610s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 510221 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.005494s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1775632232 WHERE `id` = 510221 [ RunTime:0.013156s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000408s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510221 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.013119s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 510221 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.010634s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510221 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.006986s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510221 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.022289s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510221 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.048296s ]
0.215166s