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昨天预测期货市场走节后淡季行情,应验了.

  • 2026-04-16 02:28:20
昨天预测期货市场走节后淡季行情,应验了.
今天（4.15）的现货市场价格（资讯来卓创）：
上海浦东褐壳鸡蛋接货价111元/箱（比昨上涨5元，维持达0天），均27.5斤；北京回龙观、新发地、石门褐壳鸡蛋主流参考批发价174元/筐（比昨
上涨5元），以上均为44.3斤塑料筐；北京大洋路批发市场鸡蛋价格褐壳鸡蛋主流批发价参考170-175元/筐（比昨上涨5 ~ 5元），44斤塑料筐装；到车4车左右。山东济宁梁山、泗水、汶上褐壳大码鸡蛋到户价参考117元/箱（比昨持平上涨0元），30斤塑料筐装。
现货市场价格有分化，销区价格还在涨，产区价持平。终于冷静一些了，产区价涨不动了。接下来呢，此价格会震荡维持几日，到4月中下旬，走一波节后淡季行情，价格要回落。
看一下库存数据图表：
昨天看到双线开始交叉，今天再看更明显了一些，历史上少有的情况。流通端总是备一些货，库存会大于产业端，现在你看，倒挂了。到底是怎么样的需求，把库存全消了，然后还不用进货（产业端的蓝线不曾下探）？
在我看来，就是一种冲动，跟风的羊群行为，大家在涨价，我也跟涨，大家在抢货，我也跟抢。可是数据摆在那里，不骗人的，产区供应稳定。等到节后淡季一来，价格怎么冲上去，就怎么落下来，当初涨得过分的部分，都会打回原形。
期货市场上，昨天主力合约2605很给面子，如我昨天的分析，应了库存数据的情况，走了节后淡季行情，跑出了一根阴线。今天大概率是继续震荡、回落，向淡季的行情（但，也不会落许多，农业原材料涨价，比如尿素涨－〉饲料涨，会传导到终端产品的价格上）。待验证。
【操作上】
正套6－7，回落了一些，等它再落一点，再做它一次，轻仓几个；期权5、6月继续双卖，宽跨式双卖，本周五2605期权到期（预计收盘会停在3450左右）。
个人投资日记，谨慎参考。
这些日常日记是综合个人分析后的一些看法，适合有一定期货技术的老手，对没有相关基础知识的新手帮助不大。
鸡蛋日记更新频率是：每周一至周五，周末休息，与期货市场的工作日相同。特别说明：因为寻到合作伙伴，应合作伙伴的要求，日记的更新频率将会减少。
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.001032s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001378s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.004014s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.006429s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.002004s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.011910s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.002162s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 515605 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001327s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1776380752 WHERE `id` = 515605 [ RunTime:0.010430s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001548s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 515605 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.004776s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 515605 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.007368s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 515605 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.018136s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 515605 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.005832s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 515605 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.011081s ]
0.323613s