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指数又到4100,主线轮动行情

  • 2026-04-20 20:56:05
指数又到4100,主线轮动行情
各位老板，晚上要好呀！
一眨眼，
市场回到4100，
但是油价还没有回到60。
市场在欢声笑语中，
又来到了前期GJD减持的区间。
【1】聊一聊市场
大部分的买方机构，
在当前位置会越涨越减！
简单对比中东冲突前后，
已经涨到没有冲突的位置了，
这个位置，基本上是预计美国和伊朗会和谈。
大幅推升仓位的可能性是很低的。
需要阶段性的小小回调一下的。
所以对应的是，
决不能追高，再景气的赛道和公司都不行。
【2】聊一聊油运
最近其实油运的股价，也能反应了投资者对油运底层逻辑的认知是很充分的。
股价高位震荡，逐渐对中东的消息脱敏，随着封锁的时间越长，解封后的补库越浩浩荡荡。
船东已经在疯狂下油轮的订单了，这是产业对长期景气的确认。
一艘船现在下单，等拿到要29-30年了，现在的船东对后面的赚钱行情是有预期的，终于有钱开始更换现有的老龄船了。
新手看运价，老手看产业趋势和逻辑兑现了。
【3】有关AI的景气赛道
市场的资金基本上都在AI硬件的赛道里面转悠。
胖小虎觉得，从未来几年的发展趋势来看，随着摩尔定律的失效，先进封装的重要性是逐渐加强，盛合马上要上市了，看看能不能到1000亿了。
第二条是：PCB和光模块产业链上游的材料，全部是通胀的环节，光纤、电子布、铜箔、硅微粉、存储、载板，一句话，买涨价！
最大的β是，AI的需求。
目前来看，模型能力还没有撞墙，那么AI的需求就还在加速。
总结一下最近的看法就是，指数可能到了一个高位震荡，结构性的行情开开启主线轮动的模式。
这段时间，会比较难做的。
想成功，先研究，再动手~  

投资有风险，本文纯属科普，非荐股，充满个人的假设和偏见~  

老板们别光看不点赞么，给我点个赞，不会胖，不花钱！  

码字不容易，跪求各位老板关注！+点赞！+分享！+再看哟！

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  138. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-template/src/template/contract/DriverInterface.php ( 0.86 KB )
  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000648s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000764s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000350s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000250s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000483s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000362s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000553s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 519705 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000903s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1776696502 WHERE `id` = 519705 [ RunTime:0.003630s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000274s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 519705 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000396s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 519705 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002476s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 519705 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.002755s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 519705 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002030s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 519705 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.008543s ]
0.105780s