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4.21 疑惑的行情

  • 2026-04-21 12:56:21
4.21 疑惑的行情
最近不是我偷懒，实在是这段行情磨叽，内部都重叠在一起，像一团线，波浪暂时数不清楚了。
以往的震荡好歹是比较清晰，每个小浪内部也比较好计算，这次震荡内部真的很难，之前每个波段不管大小我每天都可以很容易算出来点位，但是这次连内部小波段起点在哪都确定不了，也试了几次，市场告诉我都不对。所以我宁可等行情走出来，明朗了再去抓精准的位置。
对于这段行情4099上来的，大致有三种看法，B反，一浪引导楔形，X浪
①B反：正常来说是又快又猛，类似4403-5419这样，后面的大C也是很猛，这里如果定义为B反，第一这波这么磨叽，第二反弹得去5200+，怎么看都不太合理
②一浪引导楔形，有一定可能性，目前的内部确实也可以划分为5浪结构，但是如果是一浪引导楔形，那么2浪回调一般是0.5-0.618甚至0.786，且大概率是0.618以上，疑点就是 ，第一引导楔形也是驱动浪，应该是干脆的；第二前面的大C＞大A，所以不太看好这么快主升浪
③X浪，这是因为前面4403-5419已经定义为B反了，且长C长A结构，不太看好马上主升浪，所以没考虑这么快主升浪，因为我看的是X浪，并且X浪是独立的调整浪，所以可以磨叽震荡，他也确实没有回踩在高位震荡，有点像是诱多陷阱为后面的大Y做准备
无论是上方哪个结构，都需要一次大回调，具体到底是什么浪，还得等大回调走完才知道。
目前的大结构为认为是还没结束，就是不好确定是Xa还是X
我今天按几个模型算了一下有几个位置：
4911  4934  4949   4955   4981   4987
内部的话这里4891下来按道理也是三波结构，但是4737跟4554-4644连线也基本持平，所以现在不太确定有没有新低，也许走个短C，这种就最难搞
所以这里有两个位置，一个是4757的位置回踩结束，一个是破位4737去到4690附近
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  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000824s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000780s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000318s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000353s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000594s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000233s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000727s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 520148 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000372s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1776753500 WHERE `id` = 520148 [ RunTime:0.001145s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000230s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 520148 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000404s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 520148 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000405s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 520148 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000899s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 520148 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.000741s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 520148 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001002s ]
0.079612s