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【2026.04.30】废钢市场行情日报

  • 2026-04-30 21:03:19
【2026.04.30】废钢市场行情日报
核心速览：今日全国废钢市场整体平稳，局部窄幅调整。兰格钢铁网废钢流通基准价格指数报2111点，较昨日下跌2点。
京津冀社会库存周环比微降，东北地区钢厂库存小幅去化，河南地区库存略有增加。
铁水成本较废钢低28元/吨，废钢性价比仍处劣势。
钢厂采购以按需为主，到货量基本满足日耗。
宏观方面设备更新政策持续发力，中东地缘风险推高能源成本，对废钢市场形成间接支撑。

地缘冲击

霍尔木兹海峡航运近乎中断：
美国计划对伊朗实施长期海上封锁，海峡船舶通行量骤降95.3%，欧洲原油价格大涨53%，大宗食品价格上涨6%。
伊朗钢厂遭袭叠加航运中断，直接冲击全球钢坯及半成品贸易流，中东—亚洲钢材价差扩大，中国对中东钢材出口面临阶段性物流梗阻与成本抬升。

贸易壁垒

欧盟钢铁配额削减47%：
欧盟新一轮钢铁贸易法规将于2026年7月生效，配额削减47%，配额外关税翻倍，将显著限制中国对欧钢材出口空间，尤其热轧板卷、镀层板等品种受影响较大。

行业自律

中钢协一季度座谈会：
60%会员企业预判二季度需求环比上升，但保效益仍是首要任务，自律控产将继续执行，供给端释放较为克制。

区域政策

成渝双城经济圈发展方案：
重点打造智能网联新能源汽车、人工智能、低空经济等世界级产业集群，区域用钢需求长期看好。

货币财政

央行净投放1257亿元：
4月30日央行开展1262亿元7天逆回购操作，净投放1257亿元，操作利率维持1.40%，流动性平稳偏松，有利于降低钢铁企业融资成本。

资源安全

新一轮找矿突破行动：
新发现战略性矿产大中型矿产地398处，铁、锂、铜等储量显著增长，中长期有助于稳定钢铁原料供应链预期。

国际利率

美联储按兵不动：
维持联邦基金利率3.50%—3.75%不变，通胀黏性制约降息空间，海外利率持续高位抑制制造业与建筑业活动。
事件影响总结：地缘风险外溢与贸易壁垒升级构成当前市场最主要的外部压力，但国内设备更新资金落地、区域规划持续发力、货币政策维持宽松，形成有效对冲。短期市场处于"外压内托"的博弈阶段，成本支撑与需求韧性共存，但出口下滑风险需高度警惕。

END

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000432s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000586s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000286s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000253s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000509s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.016929s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000842s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 526644 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000761s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1777571127 WHERE `id` = 526644 [ RunTime:0.006799s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000340s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 526644 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001525s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 526644 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000437s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 526644 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000702s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 526644 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002212s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 526644 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.002096s ]
0.109055s