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2026.05.07行情分析

  • 2026-05-07 20:22:33
2026.05.07行情分析
现在是2026.05.07下午19:40分，BTC长线空单还在被套，没有进行操作。
BTC价格于昨日晚间冲高，最高82800掠夺流动性后再次试探80588支撑，目前价格80900附近，当前小时线处在80588-81888小范围震荡，行情能否进行深度回调就看80588的支撑能否跌破去试探更下方77888或者74900支撑，这里也是个人建议的空单减仓位置，目前个人长线空单仓位全仓2.5倍，如果给机会的话按照原有计划会减仓至1倍或者1.5倍去格局。昨日BTC价格触摸82800高点时，日线RSI触摸83+，3日线RSI80+，均属于超买区域，多空人数比昨日创出了自2025.07.10以来的低点0.48，由于长期处在1.0以下位置，且BTC价格在持续拉高，此数据目前还不能重新加入交易系统，加上资费长期处在负数（空头支付给多头），个人认为这里依旧属于狗庄的轧空行为。现货方面昨日有一条信息需要关注：微策略终于松口说未来会对其持有的的BTC进行出售，作为最大持仓公司（BTC的ETF持仓属于基金，多数由个人购买，不能算单独个体）自2022年底最后一次出售BTC现货后其HOLD行为开始动摇，上次出售后BTC价格迎来了自15000到126000的疯狂牛市，个人认为其原有的坚决持有行为是由于上次卖飞导致。最近不会做过多分析，一是目前套空没有脸说，二是观点已经在往期分析多次叙述，等待结果吧。
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000541s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000585s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.001571s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000306s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000631s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000217s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000613s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 530821 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000409s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1778164394 WHERE `id` = 530821 [ RunTime:0.003393s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000299s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 530821 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000479s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 530821 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001286s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 530821 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000829s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 530821 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.005830s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 530821 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001093s ]
0.102193s