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收复年线!要见底开启新一波行情了?

  • 2026-07-14 18:00:03
收复年线!要见底开启新一波行情了?
家人们，老张来了，先赞后看，养成好习惯！
今儿个这行情，惊不惊喜？意不意外？
上午大A还在回踩，午后旱地拔葱直线拉升，3900点失而复得，年线也站上去了，超4200只个股飘红，大资金大手笔申买沪深300ETF，态度已经很明显了！
但是！家人们，老张我在这儿得泼盆冷水，先别急着喊反转！今儿个这普涨，看着热闹，但拉升的是啥？PCB、光模块、MLCC，全是前面跌的老面孔，超跌反弹而已。
技术上，深跌反弹很难成气候，反弹两天抛压就出来了，能不能走出持续行情，老张我打个大大的问号。
为啥老张我这么淡定？因为见底信号虽然出来了，但这轮底部的构造方式，大概率不是V型反转，得反复震荡磨底几天，老张给家人们掰扯三个原因：
第一，韩股市场现在就是超跌后的反抽，人家调整根源是去杠杆，不是产业问题，没构成反转呢，外头还不稳当。
第二，美联储加息预期又升温了，美伊关系也重新紧张。
第三，今儿个资金拉的是海外链科技股，光模块、光芯片这些，预期早就透支了，而且美股也不稳，海外链受情绪扰动太大。它的最大优势就是跌得早、跌得多，稍微反弹一下这优势就没了，没有持续上涨的预期。
家人们记住老张一句话：真正能激发全市场做多热情的，是具备突破性的成长赛道，而不是靠超跌反弹的老面孔。今儿个拉的尽是超跌板块，说明市场风险偏好依然低迷，这可不是反转该有的样子。
三季度最强的预期是啥？国产算力的放量！这才是真正扛打的方向，短线虽然有扰动，但是逻辑顺啊。
所以，面对这轮底部，老张的策略是：先观望两日，不急于入场。底部需要震荡消化几天才会逐步转强，在这个过程中，咱得耐心等，等市场风险偏好出现拐点时再择机进场。
别一阳改三观，把反弹当反转追进去。
今儿个反弹固然好，但家人们，这市场又不会关门，也不着急一天两天的事儿，而且今天4200家的上涨，又是人声鼎沸时了，节奏比勇敢重要，耐心比运气靠谱。
所以，稳一点，更合适，别被行情和情绪牵着走。
点击上面的预约，开播有提醒！

右下角点个免费的赞，好运常相伴！

右下角点个免费的爱心，老张祝大家一路长虹！

免责声明：本文观点内容仅供教学学习交流，不作为投资依据、据此操作风险自担。市场有风险、入市需谨慎！张迁迁A0050625110005策牛（深圳）科技发展有限公司
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000761s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001027s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000372s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000295s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000497s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000203s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000517s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 563116 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000704s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1784028631 WHERE `id` = 563116 [ RunTime:0.007627s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000289s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 563116 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000573s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 563116 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.004146s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 563116 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000990s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 563116 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002476s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 563116 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.002491s ]
0.090429s