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8月行情展望

  • 2026-08-03 04:56:46
8月行情展望
先说下周五的行情
周日晚美股大涨
海力士、美光等票盘前从深水拉起盘中暴涨
带动隔日韩国上千点的涨幅
A股硬件周五好几个存储都是大单一字开
其他都是8个点以上大高开
指数开的太高加上开盘成交额不够
周五的成交比周四才放量了2000亿
按理至少应该得放量5000亿以上
成交没放量两个原因：
1、开太高，预期差打满了
2、抄底的资金抄了好几次大多数都亏钱，要不就只是少挣，再次去抄底的欲望都不大，别说去追高。
10点这些没格局的资金看成交不够就开始兑现
德明74亿封单开始炸
兆易90多亿封单开始炸
长鑫回落12个点，寒武8个点，中船20个点，中际10个点，中心9个点
现在大票绑架了指数
硬件中小票又没办法分离大票
所以长鑫这种涨太多对硬件来说是个灾难
涨的越多堰塞湖崩起来对指数对题材的破坏越大
没开盘前反复提醒了两次不要去追高
因为其他硬件都开的高
所以反核跌停板的百合性价比和预期都出来了
直接跌停买了两笔
走了三只票
8月行情展望
先说题材
Ai硬件：
硬件的中小票如果不能够分离长鑫寒武这种大票
后面很多超跌的票估计是箱体震荡的节奏
有些没怎么跌的则要继续补跌
但像7月那种动不动跌停的行情应该不会再有
要跌也都是阴跌
Ai硬件引领的退潮期已经过了
这个节点非常容易诞生新的主线
周四ai应用异动但是大多冲高回落
周五ai应用领涨整个市场
周末a吹的最多的就是应用
按照最近资金的尿性
就算后市要拉升
开盘后应该也都会有个高开低走的动作
后市修复可以试错跟随
另外国产算力租赁周五表现也不错
但看作反弹比较好
硬件起不来，算力租赁估计也悬
而且现在token价格跌的很厉害
另外机器人也不错
主要是特斯拉机器人负责人更正擎天柱产量1000万
机器人题材之前七月那波我说的是机器人也算消费电子，硬件涨价所以走不出来
这次估计也难
还有就是创新药
这个逻辑之前说了很多次了
所以8月的题材我还是和7月初的观点一致
看好ai应用和创新药
最后说下指数
近期的指数，周日黄毛取消轰炸
加​上周五晚美股​收涨
周一指数高开是​大概率的
至于​盘中怎么走未知
长期来看指数这个位置已经算低了
后期沪指、科创50、​创业板应该都是是震荡调整
如果​期间​指数有大跌是买点
大涨是卖点
均线粘合后应该会有再次​向上拉升
总之，市场最​黑暗的时刻已过
黎明已至！！！
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000846s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001540s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.002386s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000684s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001441s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.004061s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001538s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 565386 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001404s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1785717665 WHERE `id` = 565386 [ RunTime:0.036957s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000696s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 565386 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.009667s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 565386 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001124s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 565386 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.003397s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 565386 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.003769s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 565386 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.028656s ]
0.267002s