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(8·16)下周行情推演

  • 2026-08-17 00:00:07
(8·16)下周行情推演
相信大家在科技的8月这两周体感还不错吧，科技方向持续修复，也印证了我在7月底说的底部区域已成。相信坚守自己想法，没有随意交出筹码的家人们都能猛猛的回一波血。
好了，废话就不多说了，先回顾一下上周的走势，大盘震荡上涨，特别是深证，已突破7月21日暴力反弹的高点，也就是箱体上沿，后面的看法就是持续看多。而且伴随着各种利空出尽，周末消息面也是很平稳。美联储加息预期的下降。科技迎来了平稳期。不知道大家有没有发现一件事，对于妖股的炒作渐渐开始收紧，各种妖股的监管信息出来。说明可能市场风格想要往趋势股方向走，也就是科技。
之前没说我的仓位主要在哪些板块，我的仓位主要是在半导体和光通信，半导体包括材料和设备，光通信主要集中在光纤，光芯片，光引擎等上游区域。科技下周个人还是比较看好，但是我觉得科技修复的弹性应该在下周会慢慢变弱。
我个人在下周科技如果加速修复，我会把7月底加仓的部分出掉。然后去相对低位的固态电池板块。为什么去固态电池板块，因为低位有业绩和有预期，相信大家在上周也看到了fcc对我国的光模块的消息，这个消息一天没被证伪，那就是悬在光头上的一把剑。
但是市场整体是要往上走的，特别是创业板。创业板的权重大多集中在光和宁德系电池板块。特别是电池板块业绩突出，特别容易接替光，作为指数拉升的权重板块。
现在的创业板随时会迎来暴力反弹，我个人觉得固态会有表现，而且现在是低位，到时候弹性估计会比光高。所以下周光通信如果加速修复，我会把加仓部分挪到固态，底仓不动。
所以总的来说，下周科技看好，但是也要注意风险，如果冲高的时候没有量能跟上，警惕冲高回落。
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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000384s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000572s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000249s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.002801s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000517s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.006166s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000787s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 568437 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.005821s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1786902831 WHERE `id` = 568437 [ RunTime:0.011055s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000309s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 568437 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000679s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 568437 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.008308s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 568437 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000704s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 568437 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001309s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 568437 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000779s ]
0.113831s