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一夜之间扭亏为盈,这波行情能否守得住?

  • 2026-01-17 14:54:15
一夜之间扭亏为盈,这波行情能否守得住?
鸡蛋价格已经连续上涨一周，平均下来每天上涨快一毛，这波行情来势汹汹，主产区大部分地区价格已经在3.6-3.7元的范围，从3.1的行情接连二三不断上涨，直逼四元，真可以说是形势一片大好，养殖大众算是熬出头了。
为什么会涨这么快？
这个因素有很多，但主要是备货挤兑。鸡蛋商贸圈有个怪现象就是越跌拉货越迟，越涨拉货越积极，形成挤兑，蛋价本不会涨的这么快，这么一挤兑，就像脱了疆的野马一发不可收拾。
无论上是商超，蛋商，或者是其他用蛋单位，发现鸡蛋行情要抬头，就想备货怕失去备货机会再买到高价蛋，于是就急匆匆的购进。最明显的是做鸡蛋贸易的，预测鸡蛋价格未来两天仍要上涨，于是赶紧加快寻找蛋源，形成的差价就是利润，造成短时间内鸡蛋紧缺的现象，所以鸡蛋才会“蹭蹭蹭”往上涨。
这波鸡蛋行情能否守得住？现在不好说，要看接下来的波动，稍微的波动也是再所难免，但波动比较大的话，说明这轮蛋价涨势有水分、虚高。反过来，如果一段时间后，稳定下来了，震荡不明显，说明是真的上涨了，年底跨过四元也应该没有问题。
但总的来看，年前是铁定了要上涨的，只是幅度多高有待进一步推敲。有小道消息称，这几天青年鸡已经迎来了旺季，一改往日卖不出去的窘迫，空栏进鸡的现在已经入手很多了。 这个时间段是个空档，也是个机遇，一直空着不上鸡也不是办法。
年前回回血，也算是给受过煎熬的养殖场一个交代吧。过去的已经过去了，勇敢面对前面的路，更大的挑战也许在明年，在以后的以后，这么多鸡场，这么多存栏，总要有个大决战。
以上分析纯属个人看法，请勿做投资依据。
往期导读：
蛋价接连上涨说明了什么？
这轮蛋价可以涨多高？
2026-笼养蛋鸡的突围！
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  138. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-template/src/template/contract/DriverInterface.php ( 0.86 KB )
  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000696s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001019s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000325s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000260s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000544s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000171s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000556s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 462471 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000532s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1768665585 WHERE `id` = 462471 [ RunTime:0.007095s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000317s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 462471 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000510s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 462471 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002409s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 462471 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.002918s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 462471 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.000580s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 462471 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000822s ]
0.090108s