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黄金行情更新

  • 2026-03-26 01:39:26
黄金行情更新
  写在前面：
  虽然前天朋友圈说懒得写文章更新行情，因为实在觉得2.2号的公众文已经写的足够清晰，但刷小红书看到大面积周一低点割肉的散户，我觉得还是有必要稍微写点东西，至少能帮助被套的散户做点心理按摩（省流版结论在文章末尾
好的接下来不多废话，直接步入正题
在上一篇公众文中，我有提到两点
现在美股股指均在破位边缘，距离真正的大范围下破不会太遥远。当然你要是问我这里有没有爆拉上去，把弱势结构直接破坏掉，我只能说有可能，虽然可能性极低。同时美国政府债券10年期收益率在月线上隐约有突破的迹象，但凡了解一点宏观经济，你都应该知道这对于股票而言不是什么好事。因此选择概率高的一方好吗，至于爆拉扎空的幻想我们想放一边不要太着迷。
另外当时分析黄金日线的时候有提到黄框部分，很遗憾我们周线收了个大阴k，因此强趋势逻辑失效，现在应当及时调整为震荡思维。至于我为什么这么说，主要原因是我在刻舟求剑2011年黄金历史大顶，在价格行为上它与2026年黄金顶部具有极其大的相似性。为了方便对照理解，我绘制了一系列图表如下。
2011：
回踩下跌的0.618
-20%+跌幅
2026：
极端超买；是否会回踩下跌的0.618？
下跌-20%+，极端回撤
同时下跌的斐波拉契回撤0.618，非常巧合的在日线下跌形成的缺口区间内，因此我不认为价格会像很多人担忧的那样一路屁滚尿流破4k甚至破3k。这也是我在4150挂单接现货，4200-4400做笔短线多单的信心所在。
近几周黄金上我做的两笔交易，以及这一周错过的一笔交易。具体交易逻辑图上都画的很清晰了，可以参考我之前写的技术分析文章，当然后续会更系统的把我的交易系统以文章的形式写出来。
一笔波段
超跌短多博弈
错过的a+短线
省流版结论：高位买黄金被套的不用着急割肉，我建议耐心等个个把月，最多不会超过两个月，会有在4800-5000左右割肉的机会，真的不必太焦虑，我们还没有世界末日
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2026年3月25日广东毛鸭行情

3 月 25 日复合肥 / 磷钾肥行情:成本强势推涨,局部上调 70 元 / 吨

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  138. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-template/src/template/contract/DriverInterface.php ( 0.86 KB )
  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000617s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000839s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000399s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000333s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000618s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000347s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000687s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 501122 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000445s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1774509678 WHERE `id` = 501122 [ RunTime:0.005730s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000292s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 501122 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000535s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 501122 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000502s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 501122 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000757s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 501122 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.000894s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 501122 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001858s ]
0.100321s