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2026.04.09行情分析

  • 2026-04-09 00:41:49
2026.04.09行情分析
现在是2026.04.09凌晨0:03分，前几日布局空单在70588止损，目前持有72400市价空单，已在71000附近止盈50%，防守71888；在65市价买入9日到期69500看跌期权，并在价格135时平仓50%，剩余零成本格局。
BTC价格7日晚间在我们6日行情分析说到的67588支撑上方67700附近开始反弹，并于8日凌晨4时受中东停战利好消息催化开始急速拉升，并且两次触摸72800附近高点回调，目前价格71300。今日空单安排了群内朋友减仓，我个人没有操作，期权已按照策略平仓50%零成本格局。多空持仓人数比来到了1.0以下，最低0.89，这个数值也是往日大多数空单进场的最佳位置，加上目前依旧处在熊市，如果BTC价格再次拉升，下一步个人的开单依旧建议高空，比如在上方压力位73888/76000等位置再次进场。至于往后会不会再次布局前些日子取消的68588/80588的长线空单需等待两日行情进一步明朗后再确定。
中东冲突上，在昨日早间几方公布了停战条件打算进行谈判后按下了暂停键，全球石油的价格也跟随着开始暴跌，黄毛家这次又是靠内部消息赚的盆满钵满，这种事情做的太明显了，又收割了太多次，由此可以预判，他的家族大概率不会有好的结果，自作孽不可活，现在看来去年马斯克选择远离他的权利圈子也是明智之举。虽然中东已停止大规模冲突，但是小摩擦依旧不断，以色列就像一条疯狗一样还在攻击其周边国家，对此伊朗再次封锁霍尔木兹海峡，并且继续对其袭击进行了回应。老美目前暂时没有对伊朗提出的“丧权辱国”停战条件做出任何回应，刚刚黄毛发布消息称10日谈判属于闭门会谈，不会对外公布太多详情，并且再次拿出已经烂大街的关税威胁说要对伊朗进行了武力支持的国家进行50%关税加成，至于特朗普下一步是打肿脸充胖子继续硬撑还是作为美利坚“慈禧”让世界头号强国做出政治让步，我认为会两者兼具，一边继续前几日的言论说“美国胜利”一边做出妥协停止冲突，当然这种预期得益于伊朗持久以来的军队权力下放（军队底层拥有特殊时期的自主指挥权，对于袭击不用层层上报）以及目前伊朗国内凝聚力的强大，他们不担心美国会像对付委内瑞拉那样绑天子以令诸侯。作为个人我希望美国进一步扩大冲突，最好下场进行全面战争让美国陷入战争泥潭。
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000621s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000825s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000380s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000297s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000494s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000259s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000584s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 510895 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000370s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1775675333 WHERE `id` = 510895 [ RunTime:0.015821s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000314s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510895 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000534s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 510895 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000371s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510895 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001025s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510895 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001271s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 510895 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000642s ]
0.121626s