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周复盘!激荡的行情!

  • 2026-04-13 16:19:35
周复盘!激荡的行情!
周复盘：本周大盘受美国和伊朗谈判消息刺激，周三大幅跳空高开，算力、光纤等科技股反弹最为猛烈；避险题材油气领跌。
消息面：
1.美国和伊朗在巴基斯坦的谈判结束，没有达成协议，本周的和谈是小超预期，但今天谈判结果，连个最低级别协议都达成不了，低于预期，说明双方都认为自己还有牌打，还要在战场上进一步加码。
接下去到停火协议到期前的22号，战场上可能维持较低烈度的冲突，但美国会加紧增兵中东，施压北约盟友加入战场，布什号航母预计今日将穿越直布罗陀海峡，20号左右抵达阿拉伯海和林肯号、福特号航母组成三航母打击群；同时继续向中东加派战机、地面兵力；部分欧洲国家动摇，打算加入霍尔木兹海峡护航行动；
可以说，本次谈判是美以的一场缓兵之计阳谋，若22号之前还没有达成协议，一场新的大战将是可预见的；
下周要重点盯住消息面的变化，中东消息面左右着股市短期的运行节奏。
板块热点以及可转债：
1.算力、半导体设备：短期反弹三天，受周末谈判消息面，下周大概率要先调整了，重点关注中东局势的变化，局势一缓和，科技股将是反弹最为猛烈的方向;局势升级，科技股大概率也是要受承压的。
2.商业航天：本周反弹力度还可以，本月19号到月底有好几次可回收火箭发射，下周若有调整可以考虑低吸潜伏；辨识度龙头：海兰信、神剑股份、航天动力、西测测试、天银机电、超捷股份、st铖昌等。
3.创新药：本周走势低于预期，但医药股逻辑和业绩还在，下周若有调整，可以轻仓尝试低吸看看；可转债套利有：美诺转债、皓元转债、博瑞转债等；
其他可转债：
新港转债（电力、夏季高温用电）、思特转债（算力）、振华转债（储能、强赎）、金宏转债（局势紧张、氦气概念）、苏利转债（局势紧张、溴素涨价）、超达转债（汽车产业链）、、惠城转债（石油化工、回收)、汇成转债（PCB）、华兴转债（半导体设备）、精测转2、睿创转债、大中转债（锂电池）等；
小结：下周紧盯消息面是否有积极的变化？若局势没有缓和，适当控制仓位，静待局势明朗。
风控：外围局势升级恶化、年报业绩地雷、大小非减持！
祝好！
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.001031s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001497s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000737s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000737s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001359s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000639s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001428s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 513318 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001000s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1776082201 WHERE `id` = 513318 [ RunTime:0.006269s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000300s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 513318 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000504s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 513318 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001292s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 513318 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.008560s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 513318 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002900s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 513318 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001488s ]
0.187948s