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行情持续分化

  • 2026-05-07 18:04:01
行情持续分化
最近的行情涨跌分化很鲜明，各自走各自的逻辑。
首先是交易战争缓和和结束的。
同时伴随的是海峡开放和通航。
欧线，化工品和农产品下跌。
股指，工业品，贵金属和有色上涨。
这里面，上涨的还有宽松预期。
股指继续确认牛市上涨，国债承压。
这里可以考虑同时做多股指和国债。
应该有套利空间。
同时还可以规避股指下跌的风险，因为国债下方有支撑，同时如果股指下跌，国债大概率会上涨。
铂金和白银开始上涨趋势，可以考虑做多。
铝和铝合金交易伊朗出口预期，所以下跌。
硅铁重回升势。
多晶硅这里有点头肩底的意思，除了锰硅，没有硅是下跌的。
股指和碳酸锂强相关，是最近多头的龙头品种。
持续赶顶，风险正在累积。
玻璃和原木也开始走强了。
橡胶，20胶，棉花和白糖走厄尔尼诺极端天气减产的逻辑。
最弱的四个品种，纯碱，烧碱，玻璃和氧化铝最近都在走超跌反弹和通缩改善的逻辑。
鸡蛋分月份走三种行情，近月06~08上涨，09~11震荡，12开始下跌。
红枣持续超跌反弹。
白银，玻璃，硅铁和鸡蛋止损。
镍，多晶硅，黄金和豆粕止盈。
做空铝合金，纯苯，鸡蛋，PTA，PVC，燃油，LU，沥青，液化气，苯乙烯，丙烯，聚丙烯，塑料，甲醇，PX，BR，短纤，乙二醇，豆一和豆二。
做多锡，鸡蛋。
总权益831,651，赚了58,653。
第342日，179胜163负，大赚。
继续战斗！
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000563s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000723s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000351s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000264s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000488s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000196s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000507s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 530740 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000398s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1778157473 WHERE `id` = 530740 [ RunTime:0.003863s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000272s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 530740 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000487s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 530740 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000364s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 530740 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.004721s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 530740 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001046s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 530740 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001772s ]
0.084805s