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不锈钢行情炒作暂告一段落,镍源拓展多元化正在加速

  • 2026-05-11 09:43:27
不锈钢行情炒作暂告一段落,镍源拓展多元化正在加速
       2026 (第七届) 南海不锈钢大会暨贺州市金属材料招商推介会5月18 -19日将在贺州园博园温泉山庄召开。
根据议程安排，5 月18日下午 2点召开不锈钢等金属屋面仿古建筑推广交流会、不锈钢水管标准化品牌化营销研讨会，5月19日上午9点召开2026 (第七届) 南海不锈钢大会暨贺州市金属材料招商推介会。
主办方热诚邀请全国各地的不锈钢等金属材料企业家，莅临贺州交流，发现创新商机。
2025年12月20日开始的不锈钢行情炒作至2026年5月7日基本告一段落，不锈钢期货价格从12270元涨到15870元，上涨了3600元，涨幅差不多30%。尽管不锈钢终端需求始终未见好转，主要源于印尼镍矿开采许可证减量的镍价行情炒作猛烈，快速推高了不锈钢成本，从而形成了一轮几乎没有需求支撑的成本推动型不锈钢价格上涨行情炒作。
鉴于媒体热衷炒作印尼镍矿配额减量，几乎没有多少人关注中国镍相关企业在菲律宾、新喀里多尼亚、加拿大、巴西以及非洲等地的镍源拓展。
根据美国地质调查局2024年数据，全球镍矿储量约 1.3亿金属吨，主要镍资源国的排序如下：印度尼西亚-储量约5500万吨，占全球42%；澳大利亚-储量约2400万吨，占全球18%；巴西-储量约1600万吨，占全球12%；俄罗斯-储量约750万吨，占全球约6%；菲律宾-储量约480万吨，占全球约4%；新喀里多尼亚-储量约710万吨，占全球约5.5%；加拿大-储量约330万吨，占全球约2.5%；中国-储量约300万吨，占全球约3%；南非-储量约370万吨，占全球约2.8%；哥伦比亚：储量约30万吨，占全球约0.2%。
尽管印尼镍产量依然世界最大，需要关注如下三个因素：一、镍价高涨必然带动全球其它地区开采动力增长。二、新能源电池的方向已经全面转向磷酸铁锂、钛酸锂等其它新材料，镍氢电池的天然缺陷已经被广泛了解，镍氢点至的市场占比正在快速减少。三、不锈钢制品终端需求未见明显改善，根据目前的市场气氛，2026全年的不锈钢产销规模增速大约只有5%。
另外，不锈钢业界人士需要回顾一年每年的五六月行情，笔者不记得哪一年5月的不锈钢行情保持了高歌猛进势头。
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000838s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001569s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000783s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000759s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001587s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001331s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.002110s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 533476 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.031651s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1778488669 WHERE `id` = 533476 [ RunTime:0.019251s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000801s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 533476 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.022521s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 533476 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.043986s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 533476 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.032542s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 533476 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.102397s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 533476 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.028992s ]
0.550372s