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聊聊接下来的行情:否极泰来

  • 2026-07-31 08:00:36
聊聊接下来的行情:否极泰来
今晚复盘了19-22年的白酒、光伏板块和本轮行情中的半导体板块，确实有大量的相似之处。也基本确定了本轮半导体行情没有终结，而是下一轮行情的起点，这个位置出现了大量的技术性止损，包括我观察的所有个股，在30号这天都进行了止损。但是往往也是全部进行了止损，也代表了行情的极端和低点。同时今晚美股的大幅反弹，预计也会带动A股的强势反弹。
对于未来的行情，我认为科技依然会是接下来的主旋律，甚至要去冲刺新高，过程不一定会顺利，但是结果应该会很美好。
目前还在观察的个股：
1、SYGF
股价已经跌破之前画的支撑，不过是受了整体行情影响，所以继续观察，明天如果修复可以接回。
2、XWRJ
同样受行情影响跌破了支撑，如果修复可以接回。
3、YMKD
一直横盘，适合低吸。接下来科技走强的话，不知道创新药会不会再次无人问津。
本轮行情确实很极端，而且技术性止损在这种情况下很容易出现，但是做交易这件事就是要遵守规矩。遵守规矩不一定100%对，但是一定是正确的概率大，只有遵守规矩，才能实现长期盈利。
我们能做的永远不是100%正确，神也做不到，我们能做的只是盈利的概率大于亏损的概率，盈利的比例大于亏损的比例，这样就够了。
PS：重点声明，文中个股仅用于复盘和记录，不作推荐！！！
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000919s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001558s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.006670s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000815s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001353s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001195s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001492s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 564967 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.009808s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1785560988 WHERE `id` = 564967 [ RunTime:0.002730s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000626s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 564967 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001048s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 564967 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001244s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 564967 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.006939s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 564967 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002660s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 564967 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.005674s ]
0.197428s