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下周行情分析及八月份展望(8-2)

  • 2026-08-03 06:37:30
下周行情分析及八月份展望(8-2)
七月份上证收了-6.4%的阴线，从全A指数看，已是连跌三个月，本月收了一根长下影的阴线，低点已经探到了去年7月份你科技起涨位，如当下的科技仅一个月就打回原型；
上证、全A、微盘股为代表的指数，自7.21探到低点后，开启了近两周的反弹，说明很多低位传统板块已提前启稳反弹，7月最后一天大幅高开后回落，也说明资金介入，有启稳信号了；下周有可能会开启一段共振反弹的向上动作；
周五科技硬件冲高回落，软件相关的AI应用全面上涨，涨幅10%以上个股达到50多支；涉及到AI营销、智普AI、互联网、短剧游戏、财税数字化……所联系的到的行业，多属于超跌反弹的行业，能否形成热点，还要看下周的持续性；
下周关注3880-3920的突破力度，以判断指数向上突破的高度，这个区域越向上，仍会有一批套牢盘的抛压动作，部分仍会有调仓的动作；所以冲到这个区域则会出现资金分化；如上证日线图：上冲和回调整理一个月时间就过去了；加上科创50指数的90底背离，反弹也就能持续一周多点；
今年的上证走势与2024年5-9月类比，是有相似之处，全A中位指数也持续下跌了5个月才有启稳信号，只是当下的反弹不会再像当年的9.24一样猛烈，如下的启稳反弹更显示出以稳为主；可能8月份仍会有修复性震荡向上，真正的资金流入可能会出现在9月甚至在十一以后；
投资是漫长的过程，不适合求快或暴富心态的人，本来散户在市场就处于弱势和不对等的位置，如果再一味的跟随市场情绪化，那必然会成为被收割的对象，所以有些性格的人是不适合呆这个市场里；
以上谨代表个人复盘思考与判断，观点不构投资建议，码字不易望能给予点赞和红心或分享给朋友即为最大支持，公众号主页三个小点设为“星标”文章会优先推送；
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  138. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-template/src/template/contract/DriverInterface.php ( 0.86 KB )
  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000600s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000872s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000323s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000266s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000500s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000209s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000647s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 565415 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000629s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1785712764 WHERE `id` = 565415 [ RunTime:0.023489s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000394s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 565415 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000702s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 565415 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000449s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 565415 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.003975s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 565415 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002217s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 565415 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000884s ]
0.106637s