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山西电力市场现货价格预测【2026-2-1】

  • 2026-02-08 12:43:13
山西电力市场现货价格预测【2026-2-1】

山西电力市场现货价格预测

【运行日期：2026年2月1日】

今日预测曲线

FORECAST

预测明日全天96个时点平均价格88.47元/MWh；其中最高价格为250.00元/MWh，预计出现在18:15-18:45；最低价格为0.00元/MWh，预计出现在时点13:15-13:30。

日前出清价格受到新能源发电出力影响因素较大。新能源发电出力随天气变化而变化。

以上价格预测，只用于学术交流，仅供学习参考，不作为电力交易决策因素。

昨日预测复盘

REVIEW

预测准确度：全天96个时点平均准确度为90.01%，最高准确度为100.00%，最低准确度为0.00%；其中，准确率不低于93%的时点为51，占比53.13%。
高峰时段(8:00-11:00,18:00-23:00)平均准确率为87.88%，低谷时段(23:00-7:00)平均准确率为90.65%。
预测偏差：平均绝对偏差为23.46元/MWh，最小偏差为0.00元/MWh，时点为10:45、11:00、11:15、11:30、11:45、12:00、12:15、12:30、12:45、13:00、13:15、13:30、13:45、14:00、14:15、14:30、14:45、15:00、15:15、15:30；最大偏差为241.00元/MWh，时点为24:00。

更多预测信息

登录 https://ey-rz.com/electricity/login  访问“电力预测系统”可了解 D+2/D+3 价格预测信息。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000864s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000946s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000431s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.001453s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001007s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000725s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001225s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 469957 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.020889s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1770986328 WHERE `id` = 469957 [ RunTime:0.010482s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002438s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469957 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001270s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 469957 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002058s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469957 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001654s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469957 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001807s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469957 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.028773s ]
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