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谨防行情破位杀跌

  • 2026-03-03 21:16:09
谨防行情破位杀跌
今年开年以来，仅仅两周不到，但难度为历年春节后行情之最。周末又赶上美伊战争，回顾历史，2022年俄乌战争具有一定参考意义。
首先从战争预期结束时间角度和目前高度一致，开始的时候，所有人都以为两三天结束战斗，但是后面逐步发现进展和预期相差越来越大，行情也就走的越来越极端。
回溯了一下历史，以便对照目前的行情：
1.截至2022年4月26日，两市共有4626只股票。
2.从战争第一天到4.26阶段底部跌幅超-50%的63家；跌幅超-40%的563家；跌幅超-30%的1820家；跌幅超-20%的3086家。
3.区间为正收益的仅仅316家。
当时整体股票位置和目前相比，因为低位股多一些，所以整体是普跌，跌幅大差不差。但是当时行情资金面和目前而言也有显著的区别，2022年量化体量、占比远远没有目前高，可以看一下区间涨幅排序的前五十多名如下（并没有特别明显的板块特征）：
今天明显的一个特点就是跌幅榜高位股为主，而且下跌明显呈板块特征，科技股和商业航天的跌幅多一些，科技股基本上是海外映射的逻辑，所以密切注意外盘是否会出现大幅波动的走势，如果美股科技股稳不住，这里就不得不防守一波了，谨防到4月底之间跌幅巨大。
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保持警惕!美元指数持续走强,贵金属板块行情动荡谨慎操作;原油突破70美元区间上限;化工板块表现强势;铁矿石趋势单画上句号

2026年3月3日南美白对虾价格行情

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000501s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000811s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000275s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000354s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000489s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000219s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000535s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 488777 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001795s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1772600542 WHERE `id` = 488777 [ RunTime:0.004573s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000226s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 488777 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000674s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 488777 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.008410s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 488777 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.008130s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 488777 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.015786s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 488777 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.012905s ]
0.126769s