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白酒行业当下的估值水平

  • 2026-02-19 12:38:15
白酒行业当下的估值水平
白酒板块行情：首选中证白酒指数（399997），精准无偏差；
想结合大消费 / 食品饮料整体看白酒：参考中证食品饮料指数（000807）

中证白酒指数（399997）估值 - 事件对照清单（含 1/3/5/10/20 年维度 + 估值均值）

数据截至 2026 年 1 月 28 日 11:30｜市值加权口径｜来源：理杏仁、雪球基金、中证指数公司

统计维度
PE（TTM）当前值
PE 百分位
PE 历史均值
PB 百分位
近 1 年
18.52 倍
12.8%
22.65 倍
1.5%
近 3 年
18.52 倍
10.5%
25.83 倍
1.2%
近 5 年
18.52 倍
11.3%
32.17 倍
1.3%
近 10 年
18.52 倍
10.21%
28.95 倍
1.10%
近 20 年（基日 2008.12.31）
18.52 倍
9.8%
26.72 倍
1.0%

白酒的估值已经到了约 10%的位置

很明显的低估，哪怕估值修复到历史平均值，都有 50%的涨幅

中证食品饮料指数（000807）估值 - 事件对照清单（含 1/3/5/10/20 年维度 + 估值均值）

数据截至 2026 年 1 月 28 日 11:30｜市值加权口径｜来源：理杏仁、雪球基金、中证指数公司

统计维度
PE（TTM）当前值
PE 百分位
PE 历史均值
PB 百分位
近 1 年
19.34 倍
7.2%
23.85 倍
3.1%
近 3 年
19.34 倍
6.8%
27.56 倍
2.8%
近 5 年
19.34 倍
5.9%
31.87 倍
2.5%
近 10 年
19.34 倍
4.7%
28.69 倍
2.1%
近 20 年（基日 2006.04.03）
19.34 倍
5.1%
26.98 倍
1.9%

很明显，食品饮料更加低估，估值修复到历史平均值，也是接近50%的涨幅。
数据呈现出白酒已经比较明显的低估，情绪的低迷已经扩散。
是时候准备加仓了。
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【银河期货直播】2月股指行情展望

1月28日 飞天茅台上涨 回收行情上涨 白酒回收行情参考价

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000561s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000623s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000302s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000268s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000463s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000190s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000573s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 467384 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000395s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1771503816 WHERE `id` = 467384 [ RunTime:0.002772s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 64 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000225s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 467384 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000402s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 467384 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001495s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 467384 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000824s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 467384 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001114s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 467384 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001429s ]
0.081122s