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1月30日碳酸锂期货行情早评

  • 2026-02-09 21:36:57
1月30日碳酸锂期货行情早评
    昨日碳酸锂期货主力2605合约日内大幅震荡，盘中最低158800，最高173880，报收164820，减仓8638张。这个走势继续验证我之前评论1月28日碳酸锂期货早评中的观点：基本面多空交织，反映到盘面就是碳酸锂期价涨不上去，跌不下来，来回波动。
昨天期货市场贵金属、沪铜等品种表现亮眼，游动投机资金参与度极高，炒作的热火朝天。我们把碳酸锂期货走势和整个期货市场情况做个对比，将会发现碳酸锂期货炒作热度已经过去了。日内表现整体偏弱，资金外流。
    基本面上，供给端，高企的碳酸锂价格刺激上游一些停产的矿山复苏，澳大利亚锂生产商PLSGroup考虑重启位于西澳大利亚州的Ngungaju工厂，并增加额外产能；国内锂盐厂开工率依然居于高位；需求端，动力平稳，储能旺盛。还是多空交织。
   现在碳酸锂价格高企，让投机资金有恐高情绪，逢高离场迹象明显。从技术角度看，175000一线，（如图）是震荡区间很关键的一个位置，如果后期价格能突破并大部分时间处于175000之上，说明是震荡偏强，未来有进一步走高的可能。反之，就要警惕出现较大幅度回调。

综合以上，我预计春节放假前，碳酸锂盘面会一直维持高位震荡，趋势性较差。故操作上，还是多看少动，观望为宜。

以上。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.001066s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001550s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000695s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.003982s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001391s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000623s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001535s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 468691 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003681s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1771232766 WHERE `id` = 468691 [ RunTime:0.019164s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000618s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 468691 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001208s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 468691 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001084s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 468691 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001581s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 468691 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002042s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 468691 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.004484s ]
0.216177s