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科技行情见顶了吗?

  • 2026-05-29 15:17:54
科技行情见顶了吗?

 👉大家好！昨天市场全线下探，两市超4400家下跌，与此同时昨天外围指数不少创新高，纳指、标普500、日经、韩综等纷纷刷新历史新高，但就在这样的形式下，昨天A股市场出乎意料的下跌，似乎都在质疑科技股行情到顶了。
👉首先抛结论，科技股行情还没有到顶。原因有：
1、这轮是科技股推动的行情，所以昨天创业板指数、科创板指数还在盘中刷新历史新高，在创历史新高的行情中，这种级别的回落，很正常；
2、科技股行情是内外的联动，从4月份开始，外围指数纷纷起势，纳指至今涨了28%，韩综67%，日经27%，而我们的创业板指数是涨了28%，科创板指数涨了44%,领头羊半导体指数更是涨了52%。因此内外联动的科技股行情，大家都是同一个方向，A股的科技行情下来，除非是外围科技股一样下来；
3、即使退一万步来讲，科技行情真的到顶，那么也大概率会像5年前的新能源行情到顶一样，高位横盘、高位波段震荡数月，记住是数月时间，因为都是大资金的抱团节奏，不是游资型的炒作，退潮清晰需要数月的时间论证。
 👉展望今天，市场有望走修复行情。大盘还没有趋势向下，原因很简单，如果是趋势向下的走弱行情，一定是人气下降的缩量，但很显然两市还维持3.2万亿的超高量能。看看今天上证到4080这个箱体下沿的支撑。
 👉 方向上，MLCC，人形机器人、储能，和芯片半导体轮动起来，把握好要点。

本文由投资顾问徐蔚(登记编号：A0620625030007)进行编辑整理，仅代表个人观点，任何投资建议不作为您投资的依据，您须独立作出投资决策，风险自担。请您确认自己具有相应的权利能力、行为能力、风险识别能力及风险承受能力，能够独立承担法律责任。所涉及相关分析和学习交流，仅供参考，不作为买卖依据，投资有风险，入市需谨慎！SH0220260528
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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000402s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000629s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.001982s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000296s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000577s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000254s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000567s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 542957 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000730s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1780119941 WHERE `id` = 542957 [ RunTime:0.002965s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000996s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 542957 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000481s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 542957 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000477s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 542957 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000652s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 542957 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002083s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 542957 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.002268s ]
0.101588s