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春节行情,来了!

  • 2026-02-09 20:16:02
春节行情,来了!
朋友们好，我是只关注核心的壹哥！
停了几天，有时间还是想跟大家聊聊
受外围影响，今天指数高举高打，W底已经成型
不过对短线来说，体感有点偏冷，甚至说不算好
为何？
因为日内算是全部修复，AI应用、电池、光伏、CPO、半导体设备等等
那么，接下来怎么看？
首先，坚定看多
技术上，指数W低反转，接下来的春节红包行情（春季行情），即将开始
从历史数据看，春季前5个交易日，沪深300上涨概率70%，平均涨幅0.81%，创业板平均涨幅2.8%，弹性更好，2005年以来，上证上涨概率80%
为何这样，原因就是流动性释放
有一定基础的，可以回顾春节前后逆回购、中期借贷便利等工具的密集出手程度
而且今年美联C通过TGA账户和短债购买，注入流动性
无论是虚拟货币还是黄金，都有反弹
这种情绪，往往代表着短线情绪的反弹
今年的红包行情，逻辑成立！
其次，板块
周末，马斯克宣布启动光伏制造超级计划
目前建成100GW/年的太阳能电池产能，目前整个M国只有3GW，也就是3年30多倍
最受益的，自然是光伏方向
具体来说，马斯克团队更看好HJT和钙钛矿叠层技术，包含太空光伏和地面光伏
而中国光伏设备站全球70%，大家觉得，他会从哪里买？
这是接下来光伏方向最硬核逻辑！
不要看一天，短线最重要的是什么？
抓住市场最核心的底层逻辑！
关于明天

技术上，指数W底完成反转

接下来，看多市场

接下来，我接下来重点还是看太空光伏、spacex产业链

光伏设备、HJT、钙钛矿三个方向，核心之前都说过，我就不具体分享了

spacex产业链是太空光伏的载体，核心西部、信维这些

好了，说完真爽，有时间再聊！

祝好！

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/49e0cd3e0528281c5c5fae705243dc37.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000605s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=no_mfffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000964s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000316s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000322s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000527s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000201s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000589s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 478719 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000443s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1770652735 WHERE `id` = 478719 [ RunTime:0.007051s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000337s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 478719 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000565s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 478719 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001698s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 478719 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000603s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 478719 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.000841s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 478719 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.002574s ]
0.087440s